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May 07, 2024

USD/JPY flows: Grinding higher
Paying Article

May 7, 2024 3:57 AM UTC

Japan chief cabinet secretary Hayashi has no comment on currency intervention
Japan's Kanda says no comment on Yellen's comments on FX

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Range-bound in consolidation above 16000 level
Paying Article

May 7, 2024 2:55 AM UTC

Little change, as prices edged up from the 15979 low to consolidate steep drop from the 16280 high

Chart USD/THB Update: Corrective bounce from 36.50 support
Paying Article

May 7, 2024 2:42 AM UTC

Higher in consolidation from the 36.50 low as prices unwind oversold intraday studies

Chart USD/KRW Update: Limited bounce from the 1350.00/1347.00 support
Paying Article

May 7, 2024 2:35 AM UTC

Turned up in consolidation from the 1350.00/1347.00 support as prices unwind the oversold intraday studies

Chart USD/SGD Update: Higher in consolidation from the 1.3450/38 support
Paying Article

May 7, 2024 2:13 AM UTC

 Saw bounce from the 1.3450/1.3438 support as prices unwind the oversold intraday studies to correct the steep drop from the 1.3660 high

Chart GBP/USD Update: Range-bound in consolidation below 1.2634 high
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May 7, 2024 2:00 AM UTC

Little change, with prices locked in range below the 1.2634 high of Friday

Chart EUR/USD Update: Limited pullback from the 1.0800/12 resistance
Paying Article

May 7, 2024 1:30 AM UTC

 Little change, as prices settled back in consolidation from the 1.0812 high within a narrow range above the 1.0750 resistance turned support

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extending corrective bounce from the 164.00 support
Paying Article

May 7, 2024 1:17 AM UTC

  Consolidation at the 164.00 level has seen prices giving way to bounce to clear resistance at the 165.35/165.65 area.

Chart USD/JPY Update: Extending corrective bounce
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May 7, 2024 12:44 AM UTC

Extending bounce from the 152.00/151.85 area as prices unwind the oversold intraday studies

Chart NZD/USD Update: Rang-bound in consolidation below .6050 resistance
Paying Article

May 7, 2024 12:26 AM UTC

Settled back from the .6050 high as prices unwind overbought intraday studies and consolidate strong run-up from the .5875 low

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating within a narrow range below .6644/50 resistance
Paying Article

May 7, 2024 12:10 AM UTC

Little change, as prices stays below the .6644/50 resistance to consolidate the bullish run-up from .6465 low

May 06, 2024

North American Summary and Highlights 6 May
Freemium Article

May 6, 2024 7:36 PM UTC

Overview - In a generally quiet session the USD held firm versus the JPY while modest slippage elsewhere faded.  

Psychology for major markets May 6th
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 6:52 PM UTC

USD tone softening as as softer non-farm payroll sustains yields drop post-FOMC. 

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Fed SLOOS on Bank Lending mostly resilient
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 6:27 PM UTC

The Fed’s Q2 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on bank lending practices generally sustains a less negative tone seen in the last survey for Q1, and does not suggest that the Fed need to have any serious concerns about the business investment outlook. 

Preview: Due May 16 - U.S. Apr Housing Starts and Permits - Housing sector losing momentum
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 1:10 PM UTC

We expect April housing starts to rise by 4.5% to 1380k after a 14.7% March decline while permits fall by 1.2% to 1450k after a 3.7% March decline. This would be consistent with the housing sector losing some momentum entering Q2 in response to rising mortgage rates in Q1.

FX Weekly Strategy: May 6th-10th
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 10:07 AM UTC

USD/JPY returns to previous highs after BoJ action
Further downside seen for USD/JPY
USD could also slip lower against riskier currencies
SEK may rise as Riksbank leaves rate hike until June
GBP vulnerable to more dovish BoE stance

European Summary and Highlights 06 May
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 10:05 AM UTC

USD/JPY remains in focus in holiday thinned European trade.  

GBP/USD Flows: GBP bounce but BOE Risks Still on Thursday
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 9:05 AM UTC

GBP has pushed higher on short-covering, but the BOE meeting could have dovish hints still on Thursday. 

EUR/USD Flows: Sideways but Policy and Ukraine in Focus
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 7:17 AM UTC

Quiet conditions with the UK closed, but some focus on Fed and ECB prospects. 

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Still weak
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 7:15 AM UTC

Consolidating at the 1.6235 low but weak daily and weekly studies keeps pressure on the downside

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Still firm, scope to retest 1.1050/1.1085 highs
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 6:56 AM UTC

Paused at the 1.1028 high as prices consolidate strong run-up from the 1.0855/1.0850 low of April

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Higher in consolidation from the 191.30 support
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 6:43 AM UTC

Steadied at the 191.30 support and bounce here see prices unwinding the oversold intraday studies

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Extending consolidation above the 100.00 level
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May 6, 2024 6:34 AM UTC

Higher in consolidation from the 100.00 level with bounce correcting losses from the 104.95 high

Chart USD/MYR Update: Still heavy, 4.7360 low at risk
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May 6, 2024 5:46 AM UTC

Consolidating at the 4.7360 low of last week but prices remains under pressure

Chart USD/INR Update: Limited pullback below 83.4000 level
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 5:30 AM UTC

Limited on break of the 83.4000 congestion as prices extend consolidation below the 83.5250 high

Asia Summary and Highlights 6 May
Freemium Article

May 6, 2024 4:24 AM UTC

USD/JPY up a figure 

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, May 6th-10th
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 4:20 AM UTC

USD/JPY returns to previous highs after BoJ action
Further downside seen for USD/JPY
USD could also slip lower against riskier currencies
SEK may rise as Riksbank leaves rate hike until June
GBP vulnerable to more dovish BoE stance

AUD/USD flows: Proxy supported
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 4:19 AM UTC

Chinese PMI and Equities positive

USD/JPY flows: Up a Figure on another Japanese holiday
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 4:12 AM UTC

USD/JPY up a figure 

Chart USD/CNH Update: Extending sharp bounce from the 7.1650 low
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 3:34 AM UTC

 Bounce at the 7.1650 low see prices consolidating sharp drop from above the 7.2700 level

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Consolidating at the 16000 level, lower later
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 3:18 AM UTC

Break of the 16139/16100 support further extend losses from the April high at 16284 to reach the 16000 level

Chart USD/THB Update: Consolidating losses from 37.25 high
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 3:00 AM UTC

Break of the 36.80 congestion further extend losses from the 37.25 high to reach the 36.50 support

Chart USD/KRW Update: Turned up in consolidation from the 1350.00/1347.00 support
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 2:46 AM UTC

Steadied at the 1350.00/1347.00 support to consolidate sharp losses from the 1388.00, lower high

Chart USD/SGD Update: Consolidating test of 1.3450/38 support
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 2:32 AM UTC

Break of the 1.3525 support saw follow-through below the 1.3500 level to reach the 1.3450/1.3438 support

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidation to give way to further gains later
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 2:03 AM UTC

Failed to sustain break above the 1.2570 resistance and rejection from the 1.2634 high see prices unwinding the overbought intraday and daily studies.

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating, room for higher later
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 1:49 AM UTC

Break of the 1.0750 resistance has seen rally to reach the 1.0800 level before settling into consolidation

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extending corrective bounce at the 164.00 support
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 1:30 AM UTC

  Steadied at the 164.00 level as prices consolidate the steep drop from 171.60 high and unwind oversold intraday studies

Chart USD/JPY Update: Corrective bounce see resistance at 154.51/155.00 area
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 1:06 AM UTC

Break of the 153.00 level saw extension to reach critical support at the 152.00/151.90 congestion and 2022/2023 year highs

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating below .6050 resistance, higher later
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 12:44 AM UTC

Break above the .5985 resistance on Friday saw follow-through above the .6000 level to reach the .6050 congestion

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating test of .6644/50 resistance, room for break later
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 12:23 AM UTC

Bullish run-up has seen break above the .6600 level to reach the .6644/50 resistance

Asia Open - Overnight Highlights
Paying Article

May 6, 2024 12:00 AM UTC

EMERGING ASIA
EM currencies perform mostly stronger against the USD as the greenback slipped on weaker than expected payroll data. KRW saw the largest gains of 0.94%, followed by IDR 0.63%, THB 0.43%, SGD 0.39%, TWD 0.36%, MYR 0.34%, PHP 0.31%, CNH 0.19%, INR 0.04% and HKD 0.02%.
USD/CNH is trading lo

May 05, 2024

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, May 6th-10th
Paying Article

May 5, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

USD/JPY returns to previous highs after BoJ action
Further downside seen for USD/JPY
USD could also slip lower against riskier currencies
SEK may rise as Riksbank leaves rate hike until June
GBP vulnerable to more dovish BoE stance

FX Weekly Strategy: APAC, May 6th-10th
Paying Article

May 5, 2024 5:00 PM UTC

USD/JPY returns to previous highs after BoJ action
Further downside seen for USD/JPY
USD could also slip lower against riskier currencies
SEK may rise as Riksbank leaves rate hike until June
GBP vulnerable to more dovish BoE stance

May 03, 2024

North American Summary and Highlights 3 May
Freemium Article

May 3, 2024 7:31 PM UTC

Overview - The USD slipped on weaker than expected US employment data but subsequently reversed most of its losses.  

Chart USD/CAD Update: Prices remain under pressure
Freemium Article

May 3, 2024 3:43 PM UTC

The anticipated break below 1.3700 has met buying interest just above support at 1.3590/00

FX Weekly Strategy: May 6th-10th
Paying Article

May 3, 2024 3:13 PM UTC

USD/JPY returns to previous highs after BoJ action
Further downside seen for USD/JPY
USD could also slip lower against riskier currencies
SEK may rise as Riksbank leaves rate hike until June
GBP vulnerable to more dovish BoE stance

U.S. Fed's Goolsbee - Jobs report very solid
Paying Article

May 3, 2024 2:45 PM UTC